In Arizona, Republican incumbent Sen. Martha McSally faces stiff competition from Democrat and former astronaut Mark Kelly. Seven percent of likely voters reported they were undecided. Colorado — which voted against Trump in 2016 — now looks poised to unseat Republican incumbent Sen. Cory Gardner. Our statistical model based on polls and search trends forecasts Democrats having a 58 % probability of winning the Senate majority. See how each party’s forecasted seat total and chances of controlling the Senate have changed over time. Um, why is there a gigantic black cloud circling the globe. How do you show up en masse to celebrate Grandma’s birthday without killing her with COVID-19? Gideon’s 1 percentage point lead falls within the margin of error of 4.4 percentage points. Most Popular. In the regular election, Perdue is down by 1 point to Democrat Jon Ossoff, 43% to 44%, with Libertarian Shane Hazel taking 4%. GOP suggests Supreme Court, on brink of 6-3 majority, may not strike down Obamacare after all. But Public Policy Polling, a Democratic firm, suggests a tougher brawl, finding the candidates in a dead heat — 48% all — and with “nearly identical approval ratings.”. Polls over the past month have shown Gideon ahead of Collins by varying leads but often within the margins of error, including her 4-point lead in a Colby College poll and her 5-point leads in a Boston Globe-Suffolk University poll and in a New York Times-Siena College poll. But his demonization of his opponents has a concrete effect, and it’s dangerous. It harmed his image and boosted Joe Biden. Elizabeth Warren attacks Disney for layoffs. Warnock has been endorsed by former Presidents Carter and Obama. Video. Our previous reports on campaign-trail polling, Oct. 5 — Despite surprise news, a stable race with Trump behind in key states, Sep. 28 — As Biden, Trump begin debates, the races in battleground states are tight, Sep. 24 — Biden strong in red states; Collins struggling at home. 2020 vs. 2016 to Election Day. Electoral College. “It’s hard for me to imagine a scenario where Biden doesn’t win and Democrats win the Senate,” Kondik said. Conservatives nervous about a Trump loss are hoping to maintain control of the Senate as a bulwark against a carte blanche Democrat agenda. With balloting well underway in the Nov. 3 election, Republicans downplay the idea that the Supreme Court would wipe out the Affordable Care Act, fearing a voter backlash. North Carolina Senate - Tillis vs. Cunningham. Brian Contreras is a Los Angeles Times intern with the Washington, D.C., bureau. Hiring, flags, even slavery: Racial justice features in state ballot measures across U.S. The latest rounds of public polls have encouraged Democratic hopes of winning a majority in the Senate, which they lost in the 2014 election. A New York Times-Siena College poll had Gideon ahead by 5 points. Calm and controlled, Barrett shows in hearing why conservatives bet she’ll reshape Supreme Court. SENATE SEATS. States where the margin is … Both of Georgia’s Senate seats are up for grabs, and both are currently held by Republicans. Why are we panicked about coronavirus — and calm about the flu? (Jones’ victory in a 2017 special election in the deep-red state is considered something of a fluke; his opponent, Roy Moore, faced allegations of sexual assault and other misconduct, including with minors.). Disney says she’s ‘misinformed’, LAPD tells officers to be available in case of election-related unrest. Quinnipiac University found a 5-point Greenfield lead among likely voters, 50% to 45%, with a 2.8-point margin of error. The Black Lives Matter movement isn’t named in any of the 120 statewide ballot measures up for a vote Nov. 3, but its influence is felt in several. ceremony turned possible super-spreader event, Despite surprise news, a stable race with Trump behind in key states, As Biden, Trump begin debates, the races in battleground states are tight, Biden strong in red states; Collins struggling at home. I’m not saying Trump has seized the powers of an autocrat — although it’s clear he’d like to. In Michigan, the New York Times and Siena College found a significant tightening of the race between Democrat incumbent Sen. Gary Peters and Republican challenger John James. Democrats are all but certain to make Senate gains beyond the 47 Senate seats they now hold, with particularly strong prospects of defeating GOP incumbents in Arizona, Colorado, Maine and North Carolina. If Biden wins, a Vice President Kamala Harris could break ties, lowering the threshold to three new seats. 21 days left until Election Day. And are Democrats at risk of losing any of their own? Trump hasn’t recovered from tailspin set off by raucous debate performance, poll shows. Now, liberals are looking to extend that momentum and take full control of Congress by regaining control of the Senate. The contents of this site are ©2020 Capitol Hill Publishing Corp., a subsidiary of News Communications, Inc. shows a tighter race than previous surveys, with 44 percent of likely voters backing the Democratic candidate and 43 percent siding with the incumbent. RCP Senate Map | Senate Polls | RCP House Map | Generic Vote | RCP Governor Map | Governor Polls | All 2020 Polls Battle for the Senate 2020 ... 2020 National Polls. 2020 Senate Map Based on Polls Current as of Map Timestamp . Overnight Defense: National Guard says no federal requests for election security help | Dems accuse VA head of misusing resources | Army official links COVID-19 to troop suicides, CNN's John King: Barrett 'would be getting 70 votes or more' in Senate if nominated by another GOP president, Democrats accuse VA head of misusing resources to stump for Trump, vulnerable GOP senators, Notre Dame calendar lists talks by Amy Coney Barrett not disclosed in Senate paperwork: report, GOP Massachusetts governor says he won't support Trump, Key moments from Barrett's marathon question-and-answer session, HuffPost reporter: Trump hasn't held to anti-establishment ideas from 2016. The most recent polls for this year’s 35 Senate elections. The Bangor Daily News-Digital Research poll shows a tighter race than previous surveys, with 44 percent of likely voters backing the Democratic candidate and 43 percent siding with the incumbent. “I could see a pretty clear path to 50-50, but it’s a harder climb past that” for Democrats, said Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball election forecast at the University of Virginia. “They’re tied at the hip.”. For Collins, 38 percent of likely voters had a positive view, compared with 49 percent who had a negative view. Raphael Warnock, a Democrat, stands at 41%, while Loeffler and another Republican, Rep. Doug Collins, are at 24% and 22%, respectively. Gideon has higher favorability numbers, with 42 percent having a positive opinion of her and 37 percent having a negative one. For Democrats to do better, Biden will have to take the White House and win or at least keep Trump’s margin razor thin in states like Iowa and Georgia. Trump campaign adviser: Republicans should expect 'game day attendance' in Florida on Election Day. Only two years ago, McSally ran for and lost one of the state’s Senate seats — but was soon thereafter appointed to fill the other, which had been vacated by the death of Sen. John McCain. Students are fatigued and stressed. A third new Michigan poll from CBS News and YouGov comes down in the middle, giving Peters a 3-point lead, 47% to James’ 44%. The chamber’s current breakdown finds Republicans with 53 seats and Democrats with 47. Where might those seats come from? No new major public polls have come out of Maine in the last couple of weeks, but the race between center-right incumbent Sen. Susan Collins and liberal challenger Sara Gideon remains one of Democrats’ best shots at picking up a new seat. For direct links to Senate or presidential polling detail in each state, see these maps. 1 month ago Democrats’ Quest for Senate Majority Rides on Biden’s Coattails September 1, 2020, 4:00 AM EDT 1 month ago Heated Montana Race Could Flip the Senate to Democrats August 31, 2020… The margin of error amounted to 4.4 percentage points. Prop. Former Gov. The loss of thrills, laughter and magic. Tags Sara Gideon Ruth Bader Ginsburg Susan Collins Maine 2020 election 2020 Senate election 2020 polls 2020 2020 Senate races . Biden leads in the polls: Could they be missing something? RATINGS SUMMARY. The survey moved the average since July among independent polling to a 4.5-point lead for Gideon over Collins, who is considered among the most vulnerable GOP senators. Barrett fends off Democrats and insists she has “no agenda” on abortion and religion. Public Policy Polling deemed the race “unaffected by recent developments” and identified a Cunningham lead of 48% to Tillis’ 42%, similar to late July’s Cunningham 48%-Tillis 44% split. Latest Election 2020 Polls. Last updated: Mon Oct 12, 2020. See the degree to which one party is most likely to win any 2020 Senate race. Subscribe. Select any poll to view all polls and a polling average (where available) for that state. The 2016 election delivered Republicans the White House in addition to both chambers of Congress. No more high school visits or big gatherings as college recruiters, like everyone else, turn to Zoom. High-stakes college recruitment goes virtual, and it’s no fun thanks to Zoom fatigue. Unfortunately for Democrats, they aren’t the only ones looking to flip seats; Republicans have some options too. The consensus rating is used where there are no polls as well as for the Georgia special election. Home; Elections; Polls; Latest Election Polls. Sen. Susan CollinsSusan Margaret CollinsOvernight Defense: National Guard says no federal requests for election security help | Dems accuse VA head of misusing resources | Army official links COVID-19 to troop suicides CNN's John King: Barrett 'would be getting 70 votes or more' in Senate if nominated by another GOP president Democrats accuse VA head of misusing resources to stump for Trump, vulnerable GOP senators MORE (R-Maine) and Maine House Speaker Sara Gideon (D) are neck and neck in a new poll of their Senate race released on Tuesday. As voters prepare to vote on a rent control ballot measure, supporters and opponents are both pointing to the coronavirus as a reason to pass or reject Prop.